Seminar: Katarina Kosovelj: Overview of methods for the computation of initial perturbations for ensemble forecasting

Četrtek, 17. marec 2016, ob 13:00
Predavalnica F6, 1. nadstropje, FMF, Jadranska 19, Ljubljana

V okviru internega seminarja na katedri za meteorologijo nam bo predavala Katarina Kosovelj. Seminar je odprt za vse obiskovalce, potekal pa bo v angleškem jeziku.


A good description of initial uncertainty is crucial for successful ensemble forecasting. Several techniques exist for the computation of initial perturbations. They differ in complexity and performance.
In this seminar I will review several common techniques used in operational ensemble forecasting and research. The focus of presentation will be on mathematical principles and physical reasoning behind them.
At the end I will also discuss challenges one is facing when trying to create a new technique for initial ensemble perturbations.